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Who will Trump talk to in March? Trading Odds & Predictions
President Trump's diplomatic outreach amid escalating US-Iran conflict has driven trader consensus on bilateral talks in March 2026, with confirmed phone calls to Russian President Vladimir Putin on March 9 discussing de-escalation proposals for Iran and Ukraine, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman around March 24 amid regional tensions, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No verified contact occurred with Chinese President Xi Jinping despite heavy betting volume. Markets reflect credible reporting on verbal communications or in-person meetings between March 1-31, now in review for resolution; ongoing Iran war dynamics, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and strike threats, underscore the foreign policy pressures shaping these high-stakes engagements.
White House staff warned not to place bets on prediction markets
White House staff were warned last month not to use insider information to place bets on predictions markets.
The email was sent to staff on 24 March, a day after US President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on his threat to attack Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure.
It referred to press reports that raised concerns over government officials using non-public information to place bets on platforms like Kalshi or Polymarket.
White House spokesman Davis Ingle told the BBC that "any implication that Administration officials are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting."
Ingle also said that all federal employees are subject to government ethics guidelines that prohibit the use of insider information for financial gain.
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White House Warned Staff Not to Engage in Insider Trading Amid War With Iran
The directive came amid a surge of suspiciously well-timed trades on oil and prediction markets just ahead of crucial moments in the conflict.
The White House issued a warning to staff last month against using insider information on the Iran war to bet on financial markets, a White House official said.
The directive came amid a surge of suspicious trading on prediction markets, oil futures and stocks hinging on crucial moments in the conflict. It came in an email dated March 24, amid President Trump’s threats to bomb civilian infrastructure in Iran.
Mr. Trump delayed a deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz on March 23, triggering spikes in trading on global markets. Minutes before his announcement, a select few traders bought some $580 million in oil futures — standing to reap enormous profits once their value increased with Mr. Trump’s announcement.
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