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UFC Fight Night Underdog Pick: Julian Erosa (+150) vs. JeongYeong Lee
Many feel the way that you have to bet on UFC is parlaying heavy favorites together, but underdogs win approximately 35% of the time in the world’s largest MMA promotion. Don’t be afraid to hunt for them.
Years ago, I developed a predictive model that uses in-fight stats and fighter attributes to simulate UFC fight outcomes — so long as the combatants had at least 30 completed octagon minutes or 5 total fights. I found that, in the UFC, moneyline favorites are usually overvalued.
How is that possible? Well, in a fight environment with as many variables per second as MMA, it’s hard to see the difference between -150 and -350 in real time. Great bets can lose. Terrible bets can win by lucky measures.
"I am the Korean Tiger, and I will prove it": Lee Jung-young passes weigh-in, vows fiery showdown with U.S. fighter
'Korean Tiger' Lee Jung-young (30) has completed his preparations for his return to the Octagon after a year and a half.
Lee passed the official weigh-in on the 31st (Korea time) at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, making the featherweight limit of 66 kg. His opponent, 'Jussie J' Julian Erosa (37, USA), also stepped off the scale at 66 kg.
The two fighters will face each other in the fifth bout on the undercard of 'UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan,' scheduled for November 1 at Meta APEX. Standing face to face in the center of the weigh-in stage, the two smiled and shook hands with both hands clasped before clenching their fists and striking fighting poses, showing mutual respect.
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