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‘Super’ El Niño could cause global food price shock lasting into 2028, analysts say
Weather cycle threatens harvests worldwide, adding to inflation already fuelled by the Iran war
Economists are warning that a âsuperâ El Niño weather cycle this year could cause a severe shock to global food prices lasting into 2028.
As the Iran war pushes up world food prices to the highest level in three years, economists said supply chains faced âtwo shocks at onceâ stoked by extreme weather linked to global heating.
Scientists have said the 2026-27 El Niño â which forms when changes in wind patterns allow warmer water to spread across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific â has a historically unprecedented chance of developing into a âvery strongâ event fuelling heatwaves, flooding and stormier weather.
El Niño poised to 'rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record,' NOAA warns
El Niño is on track to be the strongest on record
Waters continue to steadily warm in the eastern Pacific and a strong El Niño is expected to develop by this autumn, according to the latest update by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC). It is expected to be near the top of the list of strongest El Niños on record.
A steady strengthening of El Niño continues in the Pacific; that is, the waters continue to warm.
Waters in a zone of the eastern and central Pacific Ocean near the equator have warmed to 1.2 degrees Celsius (or 2.1 degrees Fahrenheit) above average. The atmosphere has begun to respond to this warming, according to the CPC. Thunderstorm activity is increasing over the central and eastern Pacific and is suppressed over Indonesia.
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