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What to know about the predictions for a potentially record-breaking El Nino
Grace Chyuwei pours water on Joe Chyuwei to help with the heat Aug. 3, 2025, in Death Valley National Park, Calif. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
Seasonal models are predicting an El Nino climate pattern that could be the strongest on record, bringing with it more extreme weather.
“I think we’re going to see weather events that we’ve never seen in modern history before,” WFLA-TV Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist Jeff Berardelli, in Tampa, Florida, said Friday.
An El Nino event is expected to develop from the middle of this year, impacting global temperature and rainfall patterns, according to the World Meteorological Organization. While the models indicate that this may be a strong event, the WMO cautioned that the models also have a harder time making accurate forecasts in the spring.
'100% Chance of Super El Niño' Claim Sparks Fears of Record-Breaking Winter
I’m not 100 percent certain about anything – what I’ll eat for breakfast, what city I’m going to be in next week, or where my car keys currently are hiding. I got nothin'.
However, per Fox Weather, they're claiming there is a “100% chance of strong ‘Super’ El Nino forming this year.” Bold claims, powerful proclamations.
Their reasoning? The latest models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), “which ups the chances of the strongest El Niño ever hitting by November.” See below for the latest models from the ECMWF, as posted by University of Albany Professor of Atmospheric Science, Paul Roundy:
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