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He has an elite hard-hit rate but 0 homers. What's going on here?
Fernando Tatis Jr. is absolutely mashing the ball, by one important measure.
He’s hitting the ball hard more often than Aaron Judge, or Shohei Ohtani, or Kyle Schwarber, or Yordan Alvarez, or almost anyone else you can think of. He's been making solid contact so often, in fact, that he’s got the fourth-best hard-hit rate (59.0%) in the game, behind only White Sox rookie sensation Munetaka Murakami, regular Statcast superhero Oneil Cruz of the Pirates and young Nationals slugger James Wood.
It's extremely impressive. It's incredibly difficult to do. It's also not really working. After going 0-for-4 on Wednesday in San Francisco, Tatis heads home to San Diego carrying a line of .242/.311/.295 into Thursday night's series opener against the Cardinals. That's good for an OPS+ of just 71 (where 100 is average), tied for 150th out of 178 qualifying hitters.
Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Power Outage
The Padres are 36 games into their season. Outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. is still searching for his first home run. The 27-year-old has yet to leave the yard despite hitting the ball harder than just about everyone. Tatis was slugging .305 heading into Wednesday, nearly 200 points below his career mark. He has six extra-base hits in 148 plate appearances.
Tatis isn’t going to get shut out in the home run column all season. He’s recorded 12 barrels, which should’ve translated to around a half-dozen homers, based on the rate those batted-ball events tend to leave the yard. Luis Rengifo has the second-most barrels without a home run at six. Last season, Jose Tena had the most barrels without a home run, also with six. If he continues to barrel the ball at a 12.5% clip, Tatis will get on the board before long.
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Tatis Jr., Luzardo, O. Lopez, Vásquez, L. Hicks
Tatis Jr. suffering a power outage … After hitting 20 or more HR in each of his MLB seasons aside from the COVID shortened 2020 season, it’s quite surprising to see Fernando Tatis Jr. (OF, SD) enter May without a HR. What is going on?
The skills aren’t that different from what we’re accustomed to seeing:
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