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No. 1 Duke vs. UNC predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for March 6
The ACC regular season concludes with the renewal of one of the great rivalries in college basketball. The 266th installment of the storied Tobacco Road rivalry between No. 1 Duke (28-2, 16-1) and No. 17 North Carolina (24-6, 12-5) is tonight at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
A little of the shine has come off this matchup following the news that Carolina’s phenomenal freshman, Caleb Wilson, will miss this game and in fact, the rest of the season and the NCAA Tournament with a broken thumb.
This rematch comes just weeks after the Tar Heels rallied from 13 down in the second half to stun the Blue Devils 71-68 in Chapel Hill. UNC won the game on a last-second three-pointer from senior Seth Trimble. Since that loss on February 7, though, Duke has been dominant, winning seven straight games and securing the outright ACC regular-season title. Make no mistake, Saturday night means far more to Cameron Boozer and the Blue Devils than any of those seven or really any of the previous 30 games Duke has played this season.
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UNC basketball’s ‘No. 1 stat’ this season, entering Tar Heels' game at Duke
CHAPEL HILL — It’s not a statistic that is tracked by college basketball teams, the NCAA or a slew of analytics sites.
But even though it can’t be listed as an actual number on a page, it’s something that has become a theme for UNC basketball throughout the 2025-26 season.
For the 17th-ranked Tar Heels (24-6, 12-5 ACC), who are preparing for a game against No. 1 Duke (28-2, 16-1) at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday, March 7 (6:30 p.m., ESPN), resiliency has become the top trait for a team that has played half of its games without at least one of its top three players.
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