Explore the latest developments concerning Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic nearing MVP ineligibility
The odds to win the NBA's regular-season MVP have tightened in recent weeks, with the top two betting favorites — Oklahoma City's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Denver's Nikola Jokic — at risk of not qualifying for the award because of a new NBA rule.
Gilgeous-Alexander remains the odds-on consensus favorite, listed at -125 on Wednesday at DraftKings Sportsbook, with Jokic at +310. Both past MVP winners, however, are in danger of being ineligible this season because of an NBA rule that prohibits players who miss more than 17 games from qualifying for postseason awards.
Gilgeous-Alexander was ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Detroit Pistons (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) as he works his way back from an abdominal strain that has sidelined him since Feb. 3. It will be his 11th missed game this season, and he'll need to play in at least 16 of the remaining 22 regular-season games to be eligible for a second consecutive MVP award.
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The NBA’s 65-game rule is backfiring — and it could hand MVP to the wrong player
Denver's Nikola Jokić (15) and San Antonio's Victor Wembanyama are MVP contenders, but will they be taken out of contention because of the 65-game rule before the end of the season? Matthew Stockman / Getty Images
TORONTO — I’m sorry to do this, but we’re starting with math, and we’re starting with statistics.
This season, Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Denver’s Nikola Jokić are the runaway leaders in win shares, an imperfect stat that gets at the production a player provides. Heading into Tuesday’s games, Gilgeous-Alexander, who missed his 10th game of the year, had amassed 11.4 win shares, or 0.336 win shares per 48 minutes. Jokić, who has missed 16 games, has 10.5 win shares, or 0.349 per 48 minutes.
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