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Prediction, pick for Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian Szalay at UFC 325
Ryan Wohl details his best bet for Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian Szalay on the UFC 325 Early Prelims.
The second of three Road to UFC Championship bouts on the UFC 325 Early Prelims is between Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian Szalay. This will be a three-round Featherweight contest. Nakamura is from Japan, and Szalay is from Australia, which is the home of UFC 325. Each winner of the Road to UFC tournament will earn a UFC contract.
Check out my best bet for Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Sebastian Szalay on the Early Prelims at UFC 325.
Szalay enters this fight riding a nine-fight winning streak, and most recently beat Baergeng Jieleyisi and Chang Min Yoon in the Road to UFC tournament. Nakamura is 7-1 with six wins by knockout and has won seven consecutive bouts. In this contest, Nakamura has a four-inch edge in height (5’10” vs. 5’6″) and standing reach (70″ vs. 66″).
Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds
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Keiichiro Nakamura will enter the Octagon against Sebastian Szalay at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The opening line has Nakamura coming in at +120 while Szalay is at -140.
Keiichiro Nakamura will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Sebastian "Seb" Szalay measures 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 66". When talking about significant strikes, Keiichiro Nakamura is connecting on 5.22 per minute and Sebastian Szalay is landing 4.25 significant strikes per min. Nakamura lands 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Szalay connects on 44%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Nakamura absorbs 3.39 significant strikes per min while "Seb" absorbs 1.27. Nakamura also prevents 66% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Szalay prevents 71% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
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UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs Keiichiro Nakamura – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch
UFC 325’s early prelims feature a pure striking battle between Sebastian Szalay and Keiichiro Nakamura. This featherweight showcase pits the Australian striker against the Japanese volume puncher in what promises to be a technical stand-up war. The bout takes place at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia.
Szalay brings home-country advantage and superior defensive metrics as he looks to continue his undefeated run. Nakamura enters with higher offensive output and southpaw angles. Szalay opens as a -140 favorite, with Nakamura at +115 as a slight underdog.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC 325: Szalay vs Nakamura, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
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