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Ben Shelton vs. Ugo Humbert prediction: Odds, picks, and predictions for Round 1 of Australian Open
Ben Shelton’s 2026 Australian Open gets underway on Sunday night against Ugo Humbert.
Shelton was a semifinalist in Melbourne in 2025 and is coming off a massive season, but he’s a triple-digit long shot to win his first Grand Slam title thanks to a draw that placed him in the same quarter as Jannik Sinner.
Shelton’s first-round opponent, Humbert, is no slouch, either. Oddsmakers have installed Shelton as a -150 favorite to advance to Round 2.
When Shelton burst onto the scene a couple of years ago, he was viewed as a one-trick player. That one trick — his serve — was an elite one, but the American had plenty of skeptics who questioned whether he’d be able to round out his game enough to become a power on the ATP Tour.
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Australian Open Men’s Day 3 Predictions Including Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert
The first round of the Australian Open wraps up on Day 3 as some of the top players in the world make their 2026 Melbourne debuts. No. 8 seed Ben Shelton squares off against Ugo Humbert in a blockbuster first-round encounter. Elsewhere around the grounds, Day 3 welcomes Jannik Sinner vs Hugo Gaston, Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignon, Taylor Fritz vs Valentin Royer, and Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen. Offering their insights and predictions are Zain Mustafa, Ilemona Onekutu, and Tope Oke. But who will advance?
Zain
This is a clash between two true clay-court players, so long rallies and a potential grind are expected. While Cristian Garin has the experience advantage, Luciano Darderi has been the better player overall for a while now, and he should be able to play more points on his terms than his opponent, giving him the edge here.
Prediction: Darderi in 4
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