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Australian Open Men’s Day 1 Predictions Including Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksby
With 16 matches on the slate, it promises to be an entertaining first day at Melbourne Park. As always, we here at LWOT will be offering our predictions for every match on the schedule, including Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton, Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo, and Frances Tiafoe vs Jason Kubler. But who will reach the second round at the Australian Open?
Nurein: The Australian Open has been Alexander Bublik’s least favourite Grand Slam in terms of results. While the Kazakh is now entrenched in the world’s top 10, that doesn’t change the overriding factor about his unpredictability in any match. Jenson Brooksby is a counterpunching machine, but on the evidence of his performances in the opening week of the season, he is unlikely to hurt Bublik.
Australian Open R1 previews and predictions: Bublik vs. Brooksby, Zverev vs. Diallo
The Australian Open gets underway on Sunday, when seeds Alexander Bublik and Alexander Zverev deal with tough first-round tests. They are going up against Jenson Brooksby and Gabriel Diallo, respectively.(10) Alexander Bublik vs. Jenson BrooksbyFor the third time in his career, Bublik is setting off at a Grand Slam as one of the outside title favorites behind Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. His first such effort did not go well — a first-round loss at Wimbledon to Jaume Munar. The second one was far better, as Bublik beat Tommy Paul en route to the U.S. Open fourth round but got a bad draw and lost to Jannik Sinner. A banner 2025 campaign that featured four ATP titles allowed Bublik to be an alternate at the Nitto ATP Finals. Picking up right where he left off, the 28-year-old Kazakh kicked off this season with a title in Hong Kong.There are no more bad draws in the early stages of a slam for Bublik as the No. 10 player in the world, but a matchup with Brooksby on Sunday is not a friendly one by opening-round standards. Brooksby is back up to No. 48 in the world and he would probably be seeded at majors right now had it not been for a two-year suspension in 2023 and 2024. The 25-year-old American won his only previous meeting with Bublik 6-2, 6-3 at the 2022 Montreal Masters. Unfortunately for Brooksby, this is an entirely different Bublik that will be on the other side of the net. 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Alexander Bublik vs. Jenson Brooksby Prediction, Odds & Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, First Round, January 18)
Alexander Bublik vs. Jenson Brooksby Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Tenth seed Alexander Bublik opens his 2026 Australian Open campaign against Jenson Brooksby in a first-round matchup that’s priced like a mismatch. Bublik arrives in Melbourne with real momentum after winning the Hong Kong title. Plus, his 2025 season ended with four titles (Halle, Basel, Kitzbuhel, and Hangzhou), including a semifinal in Paris and a quarterfinal in Vienna.
As per his stats, Bublik’s serve-driven game is built to hold up on hard courts. His 2025 numbers reflect that with 674 aces, 79% first-serve points won, and a respectable 39% break-point conversion. That combination explains why the market is comfortable making him a heavy favorite, especially against an opponent who isn’t bringing recent match reps into the new season.
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