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Trump Is Dragging the U.S. Into a Forever War in Venezuela
President of Venezuela Nicolas Maduro gestures during a commemoration march for the 166th Anniversary of the Battle of Santa Inés on Dec. 10, 2025 in Caracas, Venezuela.
President Donald Trump’s threats to topple Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro prove the U.S. has learned nothing from nearly 25 years of misadventures in the Middle East, where our win-loss record makes it painfully clear that regime change unleashes more problems than it solves.
Forcefully breaking the Maduro regime could break Venezuela itself—and spur chaos in our own hemisphere.
The Trump Administration has been ramping up the pressure on Maduro. The U.S. began a massive build-up of military forces in the Caribbean in August and announced a strike on an alleged drug boat off Venezuela’s coast the following month. The strikes have continued since despite the U.S. producing little evidence the boats carry drug runners, and in October Trump confirmed that the CIA is conducting covert operations inside Venezuela.
A timeline of the US military's buildup near Venezuela and attacks on alleged drug-smuggling boats
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth arrives to brief members of Congress on military strikes near Venezuela, Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025, at the Capitol in Washington. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump ordered a blockade of “sanctioned oil tankers” into and out of Venezuela, U.S. forces seized an oil tanker off the country's coast and the military attacked three more alleged drug-smuggling boats in the region — all in the course of a week.
The Trump administration says it is in “armed conflict” with drug cartels to halt the flow of narcotics into the United States and its actions are ramping up pressure on Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, who faces charges of narcoterrorism in the U.S. Trump's monthslong campaign, meanwhile, is drawing increasing scrutiny from members of Congress.
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Ground attack or negotiated exit? Trump’s indecision raises tensions in Venezuela
Between threatening to strike the country and resuming repatriation flights for migrants, the US president is sending mixed signals. Meanwhile, his unprecedented military deployment in the Caribbean is awaiting orders
Although the world has long grown accustomed to Donald Trump’s volatility, the U.S. president’s attitude in recent weeks toward the idea of an attack on Venezuela has left observers of the bilateral relationship baffled, with both countries in a state of anxiety and heightened alert. The messages coming from the White House have been decidedly contradictory. One day, Trump threatens the imminent start of a ground offensive, vowing “taking those sons of a bitches out,” in reference to the South American country’s drug traffickers. The next day, he resumes deportation flights for irregular immigrants and leaves open the possibility of a negotiated resolution to the crisis. The result? No one — neither in Washington nor in Caracas — dares to predict whether the feared military intervention will actually take place, or what form it might take if it does.
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