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Charlie Morton returns to Atlanta to kick off series between 2025’s biggest disappointments
Spencer Strider will try to get back on a roll after a meh outing last time out
For a series-opening July 4 game between two teams that are basically irrelevant to the broader baseball landscape for 2025 at this point, boy, there’s a lot of narrative to wade through here. Let’s get the biggest one out of the way, first: when the Orioles come to Atlanta for this weekend set, it’ll be a matchup of the two biggest disappointments of the 2025 season so far.
The Orioles weren’t necessarily projected to be dominant — their preseason playoff odds were below 50 percent — but they were coming off two consecutive playoff berths and three straight winning seasons, with the ideal situation of a bunch of good young players all on the roster at the same time. But, they imploded: 21-36 through May, such that even a 16-13 run since hasn’t really mattered much. They’re 22nd in position player fWAR, 27th in pitching fWAR, 18th in xwOBA, 26th in xwOBA-against, and 19th in xFIP-. They are outperforming their BaseRuns, record-wise, by four games. Their ineptitude has already gotten one manager fired. It’s been pretty terrible, and even though they both hit and pitched quite well in June, it already feels like (and probably is) too little, too late.
Orioles-Braves series preview: Two disappointments meet in Atlanta
Both of these teams are running out of time to prove that they are, in fact, playoff contenders. A series win this weekend would be helpful.
This is the series version of the Spider-Man pointing meme. Both the Orioles and Braves entered the season with World Series ambitions. But more than halfway through the year they each find themselves on the outskirts of the playoff discussion with time running short.
Atlanta should be in a better spot. They have outscored opponents by nine runs on the season. That is largely due to their pitching staff, which has been solid, posting a 3.76 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and .235 batting average against. But health is getting to be an issue there. Chris Sale, Spencer Schwellenbach, and AJ Smith-Shawyer are all on the IL. That’s 60% of their projected rotation all on the shelf.
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Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions
The Baltimore Orioles (37-49) and the Atlanta Braves (39-47) open a 3-game interleague series at Truist Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network / MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Orioles limp in with consecutive losses to the Texas Rangers Tuesday and Wednesday by a combined score of 16-2. The Orioles pitching staff has been banged around for 6 or more runs in 3 straight games and 7 of the previous 8 outings.
There weren't a ton of bright spots last time out, as the O's were held to just 5 total hits. SS Gunnar Henderson had a double in 4 at-bats, but he also struck out 3 times.
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