A tropical storm is brewing just in time to ruin July 4th weekend | National Hurricane Center Tra…

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A tropical storm is brewing just in time to ruin July 4th weekend

Repeated rounds of stormy weather loitering off the Southeast coast could do more than just dampen fireworks celebrations in Florida this weekend – there’s a good chance it becomes hurricane season’s next named storm.

As of Thursday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center gives this system a 60% chance of forming into a tropical depression or tropical storm this weekend or early next week. If this cluster strengthens into a tropical storm, it would earn the next name on the Atlantic season’s list: Chantal.

Regardless of whether this system gets a name, it’s already delivering drenching rain, soaking the soil and raising the flood risk in Florida. The flood threat is especially concerning with millions of revelers set to enjoy outdoor parties and fireworks displays through the Independence Day weekend.

National Hurricane Center Tracking Possible Tropical Or Subtropical Development Off Southeast Coast

The National Hurricane Center continues to track possible tropical or subtropical development this weekend or early next week from near Florida to off the Southeast coast. Regardless of whether or not that happens, stormy weather will impact areas from Florida to southeast Georgia and the coastal Carolinas.

The first step in any development chance is for low pressure to spin up in association with a dissipating front over water off the Southeast coast. If that happens and the low becomes better defined, then a subtropical or tropical depression could form this weekend into early next week.

Atmospheric conditions are only marginally conducive, so only slow development of a subtropical or tropical depression is possible, the National Hurricane Center says. We don't expect any system to become well-organized or strong if development did occur.

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