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Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Paris Masters 2025
Lorenzo Sonego will begin his campaign at the 2025 Paris Masters with a first-round clash against American qualifier Sebastian Korda. Sonego has had a losing record in 2025, winning 20 of the 47 matches he has played this year.
The Italian has had eleven first-round exits and nine second-round exits this year. However, he has had good slam results, reaching the quarterfinals at the Australian Open and the fourth round at Wimbledon.
Meanwhile, Korda has had a protracted season this year because of injury and a decline in form. The American player did reach a final at the beginning of the year, losing to Felix Auger-Aliassime in Adelaide. Korda had to play qualifying to get in the main draw at the Paris Masters, winning 6-2, 7-5 over Vit Kopriva and 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 over Valentin Royer in the qualifying rounds.
Sebastian Korda reaches Paris Masters main draw, sets Round-of-64 clash with Lorenzo Sonego
Sebastian Korda has punched his ticket to the Rolex Paris Masters main draw after navigating qualifying and now opens against Italy’s Lorenzo Sonego on Monday, October 27. It’s a timely chance for the American to cap a stop-start season with a statement at the final ATP Masters 1000 of the year, and the matchup offers a clear barometer of where his indoor game stands heading into November.
Korda earned his place with two solid wins in qualifying over Vit Kopřiva (straight sets) and France’s Valentin Royer in a three-set decider. The latter demanded late composure—Korda was pushed into a deciding set before resetting the tempo behind his first serve and forehand patterns. Less than 24 hours later, he turns around for the Sonego test, a rhythm Korda has handled well before when his first-strike tennis clicks indoors.
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2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Sonego [45th] vs. Korda [54th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview
No. 45-ranked Lorenzo Sonego will take on No. 54 Sebastian Korda in the Rolex Paris Masters Round of 64 on Monday, October 27.
Korda is the favorite (-190) to get to the Round of 32 against the underdog Sonego (+145).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sonego has a 65.5% to win.
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