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Steve Fezzik Free CFB Pick of the Week – Week 11
When it comes to college football betting, we place significant value on Dan the Stat Man's power ratings, and they point to a clear advantage for Texas State in Saturday's matchup against Fresno State. Dan makes the Bobcats a 14-point favorite, creating four points of value against the available spread of Texas State -10.
We believe the market is still undervaluing Texas State after two consecutive performances that demonstrated just how dangerous this team can be. The Bobcats went toe-to-toe with Boise State before following that up with an impressive 42-21 road victory over a solid Oregon State team. Now they return home to face a Fresno State opponent that represents a considerable step down in competition.
2026 Pac-12 Week 11 Game Previews: Game Time, TV Schedule, Odds, Predictions
College GameDay heads to Boise for Week 11 as Pac-12 teams battle for bowl eligibility and crucial conference wins.
Preview: With both teams one win away from bowl eligibility, Saturday’s matchup between Fresno State and Texas State carries plenty of weight.
The Bulldogs are looking to get back on track after a disappointing 17-10 loss to Utah State, while the Bobcats return home riding high after an offensive explosion in the 42-21 victory over Oregon State.
For Fresno State, the biggest question is whether the offense can find consistency. The Bulldogs had 278 total yards against Utah State, despite a career performance from wide receiver Josiah Freeman, who hauled in eight receptions for 114 yards. It was Freeman’s second 100-yard receiving game of the season, making him the first Bulldog since Mac Dalena in 2024 to accomplish that feat.
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