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Experts Warn of Super El Niño
Left: Warren Faidley/The Image Bank via Getty Images; center: Eko Prasetyo/Moment via Getty Images; right: Patrick Orton/Cavan via Getty Images
El Niño is a natural weather phenomenon that occurs every few years. It is caused by unusually warm Pacific Ocean waters, which disrupt weather conditions worldwide.
Weather experts are predicting that this year could be a record-breaking super El Niño.
“People should be planning for worst-case scenarios.”—Dr. Kim Cobb, climate scientist at Brown University.
El Niño events in the past have led to intense storms, flooding, severe droughts, and wildfires that result from abnormally dry conditions.
What a historic super El Niño ahead means for your fall and winter
The current super El Niño is likely to become the strongest on record in over 75 years, with impacts on hurricane season, rainfall and temperatures as we move through fall and winter, according to the latest update from NOAA.
This graph shows the forecast for the three-month relative oceanic niño index (RONI) from early fall 2026 through spring 2027. The darkest blue contours indicate the most probable range of the RONI, while lighter shades indicate forecasts of a lower chance as of October 2026.
El Niño is a periodic warming of water in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean near the equator that typically happens every three to four years. It can affect global weather patterns for months, from temperatures to precipitation to the hurricane season.
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