Explore the latest developments concerning Medvedev vs Carreno.
Medvedev vs Carreno Busta Picks & Odds (Oct 2)
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Taking the court on October 2, 2026, at 3:00 AM ET, this Round of 32 clash at the Capital Group Diamond features a high-level favorite against a dangerous veteran qualifier. Daniil Medvedev is ranked No. 6, while Pablo Carreno Busta is No. 66, but the Elo gap is more informative than the rankings alone because it accounts for opponent quality rather than tournament round.
Medvedev’s hard-court rating places him 226.7 points ahead, and his recent Hangzhou title run gives him a stronger immediate hard-court platform than Carreno Busta’s Beijing qualifying wins. The key risk for bettors is whether Carreno Busta can force a tiebreak before Medvedev’s return pressure takes over.
Beijing previews and predictions: Medvedev vs. Carreno Busta, Djokovic vs. Bu
First-round action at the Beijing ATP 500 wraps up with Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta on Friday afternoon. Novak Djokovic plays his second-round match against Chinese wild card Bu Yunchaokete.(3) Daniil Medvedev vs. (Q) Pablo Carreno BustaMedvedev heads into the China Open fresh off a title in Hangzhou, where he defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-4 in Tuesday’s final. That marked the 24th title of Medvedev’s career in a 23rd different city and also his third of the season. The 30-year-old Russian may not be in peak form these days, but he is up to No. 8 in the race to Turin and in position for another Nitto ATP Finals berth.Up first for Medvedev on Friday is an eighth encounter with Carreno Busta, who trails the head-to-head series 5-2. They have not faced each other since 2021, when Carreno Busta pulled off a quarterfinal upset at the Tokyo Olympics before Medvedev twice got revenge in Cincinnati (6-1, 6-1) and at the Davis Cup Finals (6-2, 7-6(3)). Carreno Busta did well to qualify in Beijing, but the 35-year-old Spaniard is just 1-5 in his last six main-draw matches dating back to Estoril in July. With two full days off in between events, Medvedev should have enough left in the tank to advance with relative ease.Pick: Medvedev in 2 #ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398.box-apm { width: 600px; margin: 0 auto !important; border-style: ridge; border-color: #046607; border-radius: 0; border-width: 2px; box-shadow: none;background-color: #FBFEF9; background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; max-width: 100%; position: relative; padding-bottom: 60px; } .ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398.ays-minimal-theme .apm-choosing{ display: flex; align-items: center; } .ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398 div.ays-image-logo-show{ position: absolute; bottom: -5px; left: 1px; margin: 2px 0 0 0; padding: 2px; width: 100%; height: 65px; text-align: left; } .ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398 .ays-poll-image-logo{ width: 55px; height: 55px; } #ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398 span.ayspoll-answers-votes-count-before-voting{ padding: 10px !important; } .ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398.ays-minimal-theme .apm-choosing input[type=radio]:checked + label, .ays-poll-id-6abf3b01ee398.ays-minimal-theme .apm-choosing label.ays_enable_hover:hover{ background-color: #047208 !important; 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Daniil Medvedev Faces Pablo Carreno Busta at Beijing China Open
Daniil Medvedev takes on Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 32 at the ATP China Open in Beijing on Friday, October 2, 2026, at 3:00 AM ET.
Medvedev enters the ATP 500 event in Beijing shortly after claiming the Hangzhou tournament title. In Tuesday's final in Hangzhou, the 30-year-old Russian defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-4 to capture the 24th title of his career across 23 different cities, marking his third trophy of the season.
Currently ranked No. 6 in the world and holding a 1936.4 hard-court Elo rating, Medvedev holds a substantial statistical edge over Carreno Busta. His 52-week metrics feature an 84.4% service game win rate and a 75.5% first-serve points won percentage, alongside a 1.488 dominance ratio.
For more detailed information, explore updates concerning Medvedev vs Carreno.
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