Watching the Gulf for Potential Tropical Development | Development chances increase for tropical …


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Development chances increase for tropical disturbance in Gulf

TAMPA, Fla. – Forecasters are monitoring Invest 91L in the Eastern Gulf, which now has a higher chance of developing over the next few days.

Updated models indicate that any potential system is moving away from the Tampa Bay area if it were to develop.

Higher rain chances are still expected for coastal communities through Monday, with a round or two of showers and storms each day.

The National Hurricane Center says the area has a 40% chance of development over the next seven days.

Forecasters say environmental conditions in the Gulf aren’t especially favorable for rapid strengthening, which is why most forecast models keep the tropical system relatively weak.

National Hurricane Center monitoring Gulf disturbance as heavy rain targets Florida

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (CBS12) — The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a disturbance over the eastern Gulf of America that could slowly develop during the next several days as it brings periods of heavy rain to Florida's Gulf Coast and Panhandle.

The system is currently producing widespread showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf, but there are no signs that it has developed a well-defined circulation.

The unsettled weather is being fueled by an upper-level low, an area of lower pressure several miles above the Earth's surface that helps promote rising air and thunderstorm development, along with a surface trough, an elongated area of lower pressure near the ground where showers and storms often form.

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