Explore the latest developments concerning 2026 World Cup:.
2026 World Cup: Bracket projection – The Athletic
26 out of the 32 spots in the Round of 32 have been clinched. Follow your team’s path to the finals:
Designed and produced by Ryan Best, Ethan Douglas, Emily Giambalvo, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Thomas Oide, Yuriko Schumacher, Ethan Singer and Jonah Smith.
Additional work by Dan Goldfarb, Pasha Haysanuk, Laura Pelton and Mark Whelan.
2026 World Cup: Each team’s chances – The Athletic
Here you’ll find detailed estimates for how likely all 48 teams are to make the Round of 32 — by winning the group, getting second place or securing a third-place berth — or to advance deeper into the tournament. You can sort the table by any of these measures, or use it as a springboard to explore your team’s possible outcomes in detail.
We estimate each team’s chances by simulating the entire World Cup tournament thousands of times and counting how often a team wins the group, gets second, third and so on. We estimate each team’s probability of winning a given game using a statistical forecast that is based on roster-level data. Our initial forecasts are based on a best guess of the starting lineups of all 48 squads; we’ll update these estimates if there are prominent injuries. You can find a much more detailed overview of the model behind these forecasts here.
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