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When will Red Sox closer Aroldis Chapman hit the wall?
Aroldis Chapman has been nearly perfect over his Red Sox tenure. He’s converted 35 of 37 save opportunities, registering a 1.22 ERA in that span. But Father Time is undefeated, Chapman has been prone to meltdowns, and I’m generally distrustful, so I’m waiting for the wheels to fall off.
Last week, against the Brewers, Chapman threw the slowest fastball of his Red Sox career at 90.8 mph. Since 2010, he’s thrown over 10,000 fastballs, earning a reputation as the premier flamethrower in baseball. The pitch last week was so much slower than his average fastball that it might have even functioned as a changeup, inducing a game-ending double play.
Aroldis Chapman Maintains Effectiveness Despite Fluctuating Pitch Velocity
Boston Red Sox closer Aroldis Chapman demonstrated continued efficiency in his late-career role on April 14, 2026, despite recent concerns regarding a significant drop in his signature fastball velocity. The 38-year-old veteran has successfully converted 35 of 37 save opportunities during his tenure with the team, maintaining a 1.22 ERA as reported by overthemonster.com.
Statistical analysis indicates that Chapman has transitioned to a high-leverage strategy to conserve his physical output. During a game against the Milwaukee Brewers last week, Chapman recorded the slowest fastball of his Red Sox career at 90.8 mph, a pitch that eventually induced a game-ending double play.
Data tracked since 2024 shows that Chapman's velocity remains tied to specific game situations, often increasing by approximately two miles per hour when facing two-strike counts. The pitcher also displays higher effort levels in one-run games compared to outings where the Red Sox hold a larger lead or are trailing.
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