Patience or Panic: Josh Naylor, Nolan Arenado, Michael Busch | Stats show Guardians have 3 of bas…


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Patience or Panic: Josh Naylor, Nolan Arenado, Michael Busch

Welcome to Week Three of our Patience or Panic series! Here, we take a look at three struggling players and provide recommendations on how to react to their slow starts and subpar performance. This week, we’re staying on the corners of the infield.

Ask anyone what the secret sauce of the 2025 Seattle Mariners was, and you’d get different answers: Elite pitching, Cal Raleigh’s historic campaign. Outfielder Julio Rodríguez would garner some votes. But the dyed-in-the-wool, ear-to-the-ground fan might point out someone else: First baseman Josh Naylor. Naylor was such a priority that he was one of the M’s first signings this winter, re-joining the club on a five-year, $92.5 million pact.

Stats show Guardians have 3 of baseball's unluckiest hitters (and No. 1 is obvious)

Although the Cleveland Guardians are going to enter their series-opener against the Braves with an 8-5 record, there’s still some clear areas for them to improve.

One of those areas to improve is the production of Kyle Manzardo, who currently boasts a .086 batting average (3-for-25) through 12 games. 

But that doesn’t tell the whole story, as Manzardo has an Expected Weighted On-Base Average (xwOBA) of .313. xwOBA is measured by removing defense and the ballpark from the equation so a batter is graded just on batted-ball contact. 

In other words, Manzardo’s been one of the unluckiest hitters in all of baseball. So while his lack of production this season has been a bit frustrating, he’s doing the right thing and just not getting rewarded for it. 

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3 unluckiest hitters in MLB: Guardians' Kyle Manzardo, Mariners' Josh Naylor, Royals' Bobby Witt expected stats draw attention

3 unluckiest hitters in MLB: Guardians' Kyle Manzardo, Mariners' Josh Naylor, Royals' Bobby Witt expected stats draw attention originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

It's still quite early in the MLB season, and that can create some concerning stat lines.

Some of the stats have real reason for concern, but others beg for patience. That definitely holds true for the three unluckiest hitters in baseball through Monday, April 6: the Guardians' Kyle Manzardo, Mariners' Josh Naylor and Royals' Bobby Witt.

Statcast has what it calls "expected stats," which are based on batted ball data and can be compared to actual output.

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